Tottenham vs Swansea preview, betting tips and predictions: Swans to make life tough for homesick Spurs

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Draw HT/Tottenham FT @ 3/1 with Betfair

Tottenham to win and BTTS @ 7/4 with Betfair

Score draw @ 7/1 with Betfair

Last season, in their final year at the original White Hart Lane, Tottenham did not lose one home Premier League game. Heading into their third at Wembley this season, against Swansea on Saturday, they have already lost and are yet to win. The national stadium is not a happy place for Spurs, especially because teams look forward to facing them away from home rather than fearing the game.

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Facing Borussia Dortmund in the Champions League only days earlier could hamper their preparations and tire them out. On paper, Tottenham should win this game, they have the better players and home advantage, but a number of factors mean they may well struggle more than anticipated in this game. Against Burnley, for example, a game they drew 1-1, they created chances but struggled to find their rhythm. Sean Dyche’s tactic was one many clubs will try to replicate when visiting Spurs, but perhaps Paul Clement will stick to his principles and look to take the game to Spurs, making it easier for the home side to exploit the space. Harry Kane’s form is different now, with August, a month he has still never scored a top level goal in, having transcended into September.

Clement will be brave in his approach, but it is unlikely Wilfried Bony will start as he continues to strive for match fitness. Tammy Abraham and Jordan Ayew will create a more dynamic attacking combination and they themselves should find it easier than in the 1-0 defeat to a very sturdy Newcastle side last week. A more open game does not just benefit Spurs and it makes either of the last two tips more possible.

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Provided Renato Sanches shines more than last week, Swansea could get on the scoresheet. Spurs hit their stride last week, but their game in midweek and Swansea’s ability to hurt them mean it may take time to break through and the home fans must be patient. A late win looks good value at 3/1, but a score draw is certainly not to be scoffed at with odds of 7/1, especially given what has happened before for Spurs.

Key battle: Mousa Dembele vs Renato Sanches

Dembele continues to be Spurs’ key man because he is the player who sets the tone best. His technique and energy drives the team on and ensures Spurs have the upper hand in almost all midfield battles. But the Belgian may meet his match if Sanches can improve on his incredibly anticlimactic performance against Newcastle. Strong, two footed and technical, the Portuguese youngster will be perfect for exploiting the space inevitably left by the home side as they look to attack.

As a result, this game will be both nervy for the hosts but very open too. Spurs play with wing-backs which may protect them from attacks out wide, but Swansea are likely to set up in a diamond, meaning the pitch will be very congested at times. This game will be won by the team who exploits the spaces which open up the quickest.

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