Liverpool v Burnley Betting Predictions | Back a Home Win at 17/10 with Betfair

Back Liverpool 17/10 @Betfair
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Betting Tip: Backing a home win with a -2 handicap at 17/10 with Betfair

Liverpool are one of the best teams in the Premier League without doubt, and they are well in the race to qualify for the Champions League. When on top form, particularly at Anfield, they can be unstoppable, but they’ve struggled against teams in the bottom half of the league, despite enjoying a great home record against direct rivals.

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Defeat to Burnley back in August was the first suggestion that Jurgen Klopp’s side had real frailties. While they are defensively open, with very little protection in defence leaving them susceptible to penetrative runs on the counter attack, also seem to have a mindset issue, possibly believing they do not have to play with the same trademark intensity against the likes of Burnley, Hull City and Leicester City, who all beat the Reds at home, as they do against Arsenal and Manchester City, sides they defeated at Anfield. It would be easy to suggest the majority of Liverpool’s issues occur on the road, but home defeats to Swansea City and Wolverhampton Wanderers this calendar year mean it is not quite that simple.

But if there is any team to get back on track against, it is Burnley. The Championship winners have been impeccable at Turf Moor this term, but very poor away from home, picking up just two points. The Reds will look to win this game by getting winger Sadio Mane one on one with Stephen Ward at left back. Mane has been the standout performer for Liverpool this year and his absence has been felt because they cannot stretch the play without him. Jordan Henderson could miss out through injury again, and if he does, the Reds will lack a passer of the ball to control the tempo of the game. Adam Lallana and Gini Wijnaldum are better at running forward, with and without the ball respectively, and with Burnley looking to flood the midfield, it will get very conjested. Emre Can must step up and take on Henderson’s role, and play diagonal passes for Mane to run onto as quickly as possible to maximise the space.

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Burnley will look to find Robbie Brady, who’s left foot is a real weapon. If they can get him on the ball, Andre Gray will be able to make early runs at the Liverpool defence, improving his chances of getting in behind. But if Mane can impact the game as he has done against Arsenal and Tottenham in recent weeks, the home side should claim the win with Betfair.

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Liverpool 17/10 @Betfair