Arsenal v Sunderland Betting Predictions – Back Arsenal with 5/2 with Betfair

Back Arsenal 5/2 @betfair
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Betting Tip: Back a home win with Giroud to score first at 5/2 with Betfair

Arsenal have reinvigorated their hopes of finishing in the top four this season with four wins from their last five Premier League games. They face already relegated Sunderland at the Emirates Stadium looking to take the race with Liverpool and Manchester City to the final day of the season.

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For that reason, it is tough to find good value in backing a home win, with the odds stacked hugely in the Gunners’ favour. But with Alexis Sanchez a doubt for the game and facing a late fitness test, there is a real opportunity for others to step up. Our top Premier League betting tip is Oliver Giroud to score first in a home win at 5/2 with Betfair, and get a betfair free bet on your way.

But that really depends who Arsene Wenger decides to go for in attack. We have gone for Giroud because of his brace in the 4-1 win at Stoke on Saturday night, but Welbeck’s goal against former club Manchester United recently and the fact that his style of play may be better for breaking down the deep defensive line Sunderland will attempt to play make him a good option for Wenger and therefore decent value to score first in a home win at 11/4 with Betfair.

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But Paddy Power are offering some great options in the winning margin market. With Arsenal expected to dominate the game, and Sunderland’s lack of adventure, it would be worth your while going for a home win by exactly two goals at 11/4 or three at 16/5

As mentioned above, Arsenal have won four of their last five league games, while Sunderland have won just once in that time. The Black Cats will be playing in the Championship next season, and are in the bottom three for most stats including goals scored, home wins and away wins.

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As for head to head meetings, Arsenal have the clear upper hand there too, having not lost since February 2012 and never at the Emirates Stadium. A comfortable 4-1 victory, just as they managed on Saturday, at the Stadium of Light, suggests this game should be rather easy for Arsenal.

Wenger must guard against complacency though. Two seasons ago, when Sunderland needed a point to stay up under Dick Advocaat, they successfully guarded against a Gunners onslaught which included both Alexis Sanchez and Mesut Ozil. The home side will hope they fact that it is they who need the points will ensure they avoid a repeat result this time around.

Alexis Sanchez vs Billy Jones

If Sanchez does prove fit enough to start, he will most likely start on the left hand side and therefore up against Sunderland right back Billy Jones. The former West Brom man will have to be wary of not only the Chilean’s pace, but also his propensity to drift away from his marker. Whether Moyes opts for a zonal marking system or one centred on man marking will determine the success.

Jones will be hoping Sanchez misses out, because his perspective replacements, the likes of Theo Walcott and Alex Iwobi, will be much more direct and easier to contain. The last thing he will want is to be caught in two minds, which Sanchez will look to cause.

Jermain Defoe vs Shkodran Mustafi

Arsenal have begun to adopt a back three in recent weeks, which offers them more protection all over the pitch but could cause problems if Jermain Defoe gets in behind. Sunderland often opt for a 4-2-3-1 system with Fabio Borini and Victor Anichebe (if fit) in behind Defoe. The aim will be to get as close to him as possible, but most the most likely option will be playing Defoe in with long through balls.

The last thing Mustafi will want is to be facing his own goal, especially with a master finisher like Defoe up against him.

Probable lineups:

Arsenal (3-5-2): Cech; Koscielny, Mustafi, Holding; Bellerin, Xhaka, Ramsey, Monreal, Sanchez, Ozil; Giroud.

Sunderland (4-2-3-1): Pickford; Manquillo, Kone, O’Shea, Jones; Gibson, Larsson, N’Dong; Borini, Anichebe; Defoe.

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Arsenal 5/2 @Betfair