Liverpool vs Burnley preview, betting tips and predictions: Reds to narrowly beat confident ClaretsPublished September 13, 2017
Liverpool to win and BTTS @ 19/10 with Coral
Liverpool to win and under 2.5 goals @ 11/4 with Coral
Mohamed Salah to score first @ 10/3 with Coral
Liverpool should storm to victory at home to Burnley on Saturday, but the reality could be quite different. For a team who only won once away from home last season, the Clarets will be confident coming into this one, but not unsurprisingly given how this season has gone so far. Victory at Chelsea and a draw with Spurs at Wembley will give Sean Dyche’s side the belief they can shock the Kop this weekend. Chris Wood, the striker bought from Leeds after the sale of Andre Gray to Watford, scored last week and he will provide a focal point in attack, either with direct balls or crosses into the box. Liverpool’s weakness at set plays can also be exploited by Wood and others, meaning that at 11/4 to score anytime, Wood could be very good value for a bet. His presence, and the bravery of Burnley away from home so far, is the basis of our 19/10 BTTS primary bet too.
Not only will Liverpool be missing Sadio Mane after his controversial red card against Manchester City last week, but they may also be feeling the affects of their Champions League commitments. They welcome Sevilla in the opening match, and although they are at home, such a big game will leave them spent and with only two days to prepare for Burnley. Given energy and intensity are two huge factors in Liverpool’s play when they are at their best, if they are laboured and short on both they will be easier to contain for the visitors, who will only grow in confidence as the game goes on. Mane’s absence was a huge blow last season, Salah’s presence should see Liverpool maintain some of their attacking threat. The Egyptian will be expected to step up and could be good to score first at 10/3.
Far too often against midtable sides at home and away last season, Liverpool struggled for impetus. They only beat Burnley 2-1 at Anfield and that sort of performance appears to have carried over into the new season with a draw at Watford and only narrow win over struggling Crystal Palace. If all of the aforementioned factors come into play, Liverpool fans must be patient.
Key battle: Jack Cork vs Gini Wijnaldum
As stated, Liverpool’s impact on this game will come down to their intensity. They will need to match their performance against Arsenal, which will be very tough coming off the back of the Champions League and without Mane. When hr plays, Wijnaldum’s role is to run box to box as the first port of call for attacks, while Jack Cork will be sitting deep alongside the slightly more adventurous Steven Defour, mopping up and protecting the back four. Wijnaldum does not have a key role on the face of it, but if he doesn’t perform, Liverpool will be off the pace and that will play right into Burnley’s hands.