Formula One Betting Preview: Kimi Raikkonen can upset the odds against teammate in Belgian Grand Prix

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This week’s best F1 Belgian GP bets:


  • (TOP BET) Kimi Raikkonen to beat Sebastian Vettel at 12/5 (3.40) with Bwin
  • Lewis Hamilton to win the Belgian GP at 5/6 (1.83) with Skybet
  • Sergio Perez to finish in the Top-6 at 11/8 (2.38) with Paddy Power

Valtteri Bottas to go fastest in Friday’s Practice 1 at 7/2 (4.50) with Betstars

As ever the best value bets for Formula 1 betting comes at the start of race weekend, long before the cars have turned a wheel on track or even been unloaded from the crates which transported them into the country.

This weekend the F1 action comes from the fantastic Spa-Francorchamps circuit over in Belgium (Spa for short!)

With a 7-kilometre radius, undulations, tricky corners and long flat-out sections this is by far the best of all the circuits currently on the F1 calendar.  For my two-penneth it is the best race-track in the world.




Here Bwin are offering a generous 12/5 (3.40) about Kimi Raikkonen against his Ferrari teammate Sebastian Vettel in a match bet market.  The price is outrageous.  Like I say, get involved nice and early.

Yes I agree that Sebastian Vettel, with considerably better results than Kimi Raikkonen over two seasons, is the rightful favourite but what the odds compilers have not factored in is Raikkonen’s love for this high-speed race track. His performances here are generally breathtaking.

Consider this:  Raikkonen’s only race win during the 2004 season came here in Belgium.  His only race win during the 2009 season?  …It came here in Belgium.  His best race result of 2014?  It came here in Belgium!  In total the Finn has won this race four times.

Mercedes' British driver Lewis Hamilton prepares to take part in a practice session at the Hungaroring racing circuit in Budapest on July 28, 2017 prior to the Formula One Hungarian Grand Prix. / AFP PHOTO / ANDREJ ISAKOVIC

Admittedly Vettel did finish ahead of Raikkonen in the 2016 Belgian Grand Prix but it was the older driver who qualified better and started the race from 3rd on the grid.

Lewis Hamilton / Mercedes territory

The race win looks at the mercy of Lewis Hamilton.  

His Mercedes car, which has been successful here for four years running, loves this kind of high-speed circuit.  Unfortunately this is reflected in his current F1 betting odds with the Brit showing as odds-on favourite across the boards.  

If you do want to back him, Skybet is the place to shop.  They go an industry-best price of 5/6 (1.83) on the British F1 superstar to record another Belgian GP win.

Sergio Perez for a third top-six in Spa

But the online bookmakers have surely overlooked the fact Sergio Perez has a Mercedes engine in his Force India car.

It’s propelled him to a fifth placed finish here in both 2015 and 2016.  His 2017 car is performing every part as good, if not better, than it did then.

The Mexican has claimed 3 top-six finishes so far this season and this venue will be more to his car’s linking than most if not all of the venues it has visited during the course of 2017.  

At 11/8 (2.38) with Stan James and Paddy Power for another top-6 finish in Spa, I think he is well worth a cheeky F1 bet to keep you interested while you chomp on your Sunday roasts.

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Valtteri Bottas to top Practice 1 time sheets?

For those that cannot wait until race day on Sunday there is Friday’s practice sessions and the first of them may offer a real spot of F1 betting value.

Betstars are offering odds of 5/6 (1.83) on Lewis Hamilton in that ultra-fast Mercedes.  Given that he has topped the Practice 1 timesheets five times this year his price is justified.

However, Valtteri Bottas has polished up his practice times in recent race weekends, topping the timesheets in Practice 3 in Baku and the first and second practice sessions in Silverstone.

With Lewis Hamilton confident of his abilities at this venue – he is a three time winner here – and with him keen to not overstress vital components on his car, there is surely more than a 22% chance (what his odds of 7/2 equate to) that his teammate, Valtteri Bottas will prove the quicker driver on Friday morning.

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