Everton vs Burnley preview, betting tips and predictions: Everton slight favourites in slippery clash

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Draw HT/Everton FT @ 10/3 with SkyBet

Score draw @ 4/1 with SkyBet

Everton to win and BTTS @ 11/4 with SkyBet

Goodison Park took a collective deep breath when Bournemouth took the lead last week, but then sighed in relief when forgotten man Oumar Niasse pulled the game back with two late goals. There is real irony about the fact it was Niasse who saved the day, given how he has been completely ostracised by Ronald Koeman since he first watched him play.

There is a real opportunity for the striker to stake his claim as the Toffees main striker at least until January, with neither Wayne Rooney nor Sandro Ramirez really suited to the role vacated by Romelu Lukaku. Goals have been an issue for Everton all season, but recently they have been conceding them too, with 10 goals going unanswered a few games ago. It is unlikely that Burnley will bombard them with attacking play, but they need to get back into the swing of things with a high line. Playing aging defenders Ashley Williams and Phil Jagielka together left them too deep and inviting that sort of pressure will only end badly.

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Burnley will have a game plan as they have in their other big away games this season. The Clarets have remained unbeaten in games with Chelsea, winning 3-2, Tottenham and Liverpool, both of whom they drew with, by keeping their shape and hitting them on the counter attack. Chris Wood is a real handful up front, while Jeff Hendrick and Robbie Brady have an ability to create opportunities from dead balls and open play. Everton may have gotten back on track with a narrow victory last week, but their continued struggles with identity and Burnley’s previous upsets means that at 4/1, the score draw is not a bad option with SkyBet.

But Everton do have enough quality to win this game and should really expect to. They showed great character against Bournemouth to win late on, and there are a lot of players capable of being the hero. Rooney won the opening game of the season against Stoke, and he could prove himself again, while Everton fans are still waiting to see a definitive display from Gylfi Sigurdsson in the Premier League. They are favourites and should take confidence from getting back to winning ways, and adding to that, either in the second half at 10/3 or with BTTS at 11/4 is a real possibility.

Key battle: Scott Arfield vs Cuco Martina

On paper, Burnley are much stronger down their right flank, but Everton’s biggest weakness is their right back Cuco Martina. Scott Arfield must attack him when possible because he will be able to supply crosses for Wood up front to get on the end of.

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If Robbie Brady and Matthew Lowton can double up on Leighton Baines, Burnley will have joy on both flanks. But their best opportunity going forward is exploiting Martina, who has been criticised for his positioning in recent weeks and is often left exposed by a lack of support from Dominic Calvert-Lewin ahead of him.

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