Bayern Munich v Arsenal Betting Prediction | Back a Home Win at Betfair

Back Bayern Munich 5/2 @Betfair
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Betting Tip: Bayern Munich vs Arsenal – Backing home win and Robert Lewandowski to score at 5/2 with Betfair

How’s your luck, Arsenal? The Gunners’ main aim in every Champions League group stage recently has been to top the table to specifically avoid one of the European elite having come up against Barcelona and Bayern Munich in the last 16. They’ve won their group this year, but met Bayern who finished behind Atletico Madrid in theirs.

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Rarely are the hosts in the first leg favourites to progress, but they have to be in this game. Bayern have not been their usual dominant selves in Europe or domestically in the Bundesliga this season, but they still carry and obvious threat, not least in the man we are backing to get on the scoresheet at the Allianz Arena.

The Gunners do not come into this game in particularly good shape, either. A lucky escape against Hull City at the weekend was preceded by defeats to Chelsea and Watford. Bayern and the Blues are similarly strong in squad depth, meaning there are very few aspects of their game that Arsenal can exploit, an issue they plainly had at Stamford Bridge in their 3-1 defeat. Bayern, though, were lucky to get past Ingolstadt at the weekend, only doing so thanks to stoppage time goals from Arturo Vidal and Arjen Robben.

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A difference which could be crucial, perhaps, in this game is that Arsenal play away first. Most frustratingly, in previous meetings, they have had to come out fighting at the Emirates Stadium in the first leg and subsequently been picked off by Bayern. The game is then more or less over by the return in Germany. But this time, it is Bayern who must set the pace and take early risks, something Carlo Ancelotti has struggled with, certainly domestically.

Arsene Wenger’s game plan is almost done for him. Instead of being caught between defence and attack early on, like before, Arsenal can sit tight and attempt to counter attack. There will be huge amounts of pressure on Laurent Koscielny and Skhodran Mustafi, and it is important that everyone, most notably Granit Xhaka, keeps their heads, but the opportunity is there. Bayern lack pace in defence, and that is exactly what Arsena’s attack has in abundance. Unleashing the likes of Alex Iwobi and Alexis Sanchez will be Wenger’s main idea, but Mesut Ozil’s control of their tempo as they approach the final third will be crucial.

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Expect this game to be closer than before, given Arsena’s threat and Bayern’s vulnerability, but the home side’s extra firepower will see them through.

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