This tie looked to be effectively over an hour into the 1st leg in Turin, with Bayern Munich two goals to the good and Juventus struggling to get a foothold in the game. The Italians eventually rallied and two goals in the last 27 minutes gave them parity on the night.
Those two precious away goals ensure that the Germans retain the advantage though and Juventus will probably need to win in 90 minutes if they are to progress to the last eight. Of course, winning in Munich is no easy task.
There is hope for Juventus in that, since the 1st leg, Bayern Munich have lost 2-1 at home to Mainz in the Bundesliga. Prior to that Bayern had won 11 consecutive league games at the Allianz Arena, one DfB Pokal tie and three Champions League group games. Indeed, their three group games at home to Dinamo Zagreb, Arsenal and Olympiakos saw them amass 14 goals and concede just one.
Bayern have struggled with defensive absentees this season. Jerome Boateng recently returned to training for Bayern, but one suspects this game will be too soon for a first-team return, while Holger Badstuber and Javi Martinez remain long-term absentees. Pep Guardiola is renowned for his innovative formations and he could go with another unlikely central defensive pairing. Juventus also have a couple of defensive concerns, with Martin Caceres out and Giorgio Chiellini struggling with a calf injury. Chiellini’s availability could be crucial.
Both teams are looking in good shape to retain their domestic titles, with Bayern five-points clear at the top of the Bundesliga and Juventus holding a three-point lead in Serie A.
Bayern will probably come out and look to get an early goal that would force Juventus to chase the game and leave gaps for them to expose. With attacking talent of the calibre of Robert Lewandowski; Thomas Muller; Arjen Robben; Douglas Costa; Kingsley Coman; Mario Gotze and Franck Ribery at Guardiola’s disposal, it might be in Juve’s interest to try and get at Bayern’s weakened rearguard rather than simply try and soak up pressure and hit on the counter-attack. It could result in an open game with a few goals.