Boxing Betting Preview: Back Andre Ward to outbox Alexander Brand to points victory

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Andre Ward to win by Decision at 11/10 with Paddy Power

In the third of a trio of mismatch bouts at light-heavyweight for Andre Ward, the unbeaten American super-middleweight champion faces little known Colombian Alexander Brand, who is pushing 40-years old and to all intents and purposes, is just here for the pay day.

With Ward 1/100 favourite to win the fight, we must look to the alternative boxing betting markets such as ‘Method Of Victory’ or ‘Round Betting’ in order to get a value bet here.

The interest in the fight has been minimal at best in truth and it’s unclear why HBO gave Ward the green light for this mismatch, because Ward’s already had two easy fights in his last two bouts against Sullivan Barrera and Paul Smith.

BoxNation will be showing the fight live, which will take place at around 3.30am on Sunday morning of the 7th of August. You’d think with HBO recently signing a multi-fight deal with Ward they would only televise his fights if he were to fight high quality guys like Artur Beterbiev, Joe Smith Jr, Jean Pascal or Oleksandr Gvozdyk in this division, but it looks like they’re going to give Ward a break by televising this mismatch.

When Andre Ward wins this he’ll face the IBF/WBA/WBO light-heavyweight champion Sergey Kovalev on November 19th on HBO pay per view. That’s the fight that the boxing fans wants to see, not fights between Ward and over-matched old guys like Alexander Brand. The November date would be Ward’s first big fight since 2011 where he beat Carl Froch in New Jersey.

Ward isn’t the most active champion but nobody can deny his quality. He has lost the power of old in his hands so it is hard to see him stopping Brand, but he’s that much better a boxer that he could do so. Paddy Power are offering 8/11 about the TKO/KO win.

Nevertheless, the 11/10 price about the Points Decision win might prove a bit of value for those who like betting on boxing. Andre Ward won’t be looking to unload bombs here, rather hone in on his technique and get the job done for an easy nights’ work.

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