Australian Open Final Betting Tips
Roger Federer and Marin Cilic are the last two men standing in the Australian Open.
The pair, who met in the Wimbledon final last year, have managed to come through an incredibly unpredictable but entertaining tournament at Melbourne Park.
Both men have produced some stunning tennis over the last fortnight and could not have hoped for anything better from their semi-finals.
Cilic was far too good for a subdued Kyle Edmund on Thursday evening before Federer booked his place in the final in less than two sets as Hyeong Chung retired injured on Friday.
It’s all set up for a classic Australian Open final in front of a packed house in Rod Laver Arena.
Federer to Come Through His Toughest Test
There’s no doubt that Roger Federer was fully deserving of his win in the Australian Open last year.
The Swiss superstar was given very little chance of winning before the tournament but he rolled back the years to set up a final against Rafa Nadal. The Spaniard fought hard and won two sets in the final but Federer eventually came through in a wonderfully entertaining five setter.
Now 36, Federer’s levels have barely dropped during this year’s Australian Open. He heads into the final as the clear favourite and we think he’ll oblige his fans and his backers.
However, we don’t think that it will be a repeat of the straight sets victory that Federer recorded over Cilic in the 2017 Wimbledon final.
Cilic was clearly very nervous in the first set in London and then had his ability to compete badly hampered by a horrible blister on his left foot.
The Croatian has had no hint of an injury during his spell in Melbourne and is serving brilliantly. Federer should improve his strong record of 8-1 against Cilic but we expect the underdog to become the first man to take a set off Federer in the tournament.
That makes the 5/2 that Ladbrokes are quoting on 3-1 in their set betting market look well worth a bet.
Cilic’s Serving to Produce a Tight Encounter
Of all the impressive stats about Cilic’s serving in his semi-final against Kyle Edmund, perhaps the most eye catching is the fact that he won 90 percent of points on his first serve.
He’s also served a minimum of 10 aces in each and every match in Melbourne this year and isn’t bad when missing his first serve as he won 58% of his second serve points against Edmund.
Federer won 6-3, 6-1, 6-4 when these two met in Wimbledon but a fit Cilic will be make this much more competitive. The Croatian will use his serving prowess to keep himself in the final with as many easy points as he can muster and every set should be a tight one.
So, have a bet on Cilic to win the match with a +5 game handicap at 17/20 with Betway.
Breaks to be at a Premium
Cilic’s serving always catches the eye but Federer’s hardly been poor in that regard in Melbourne.
The Swiss won 83% of his points on first serve against Thomas Berdych and served 15 aces in that quarter-final.
He was even more lethal against an ailing Chung in the semi-final and will be just as hard to break as Cilic.
To capitalise on this, have a bet on there being under 5.5 total breaks of serve in the match which is evens with Coral.
Top Betting Tips
Roger Federer to win 3-1 at 5/2 with Ladbrokes
Marin Cilic +5 game handicap at 17/20 with Betway
Under 5.5 total breaks of serve in the match at evens with Coral