UFC 109 Betting Tip: Back Gustafsson to Win at 10/11 with Bet365

back Gustafsson at 10/11 @Bet365
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UFC 109 Betting Tip: Back Gustafsson to Beat Teixeira 10/11 with Bet365

The UFC returns to Stockholm, Sweden on Saturday night on a live fight card which will be shown on BT Sports from 8.30pm in the UK.

Alexander “The Mauler” Gustafsson is a superstar in Sweden and despite losing three of his last five fights inside the UFC octagon, is a more than worthy main event of Fight Night 109.

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The 30-year old Alliance MMA fighter is set to face Brazilian hard-hitter Glover Teixeira, who will be bidding to get back into title contention after a couple of uninspiring performances.

The online bookmakers are offering a top price of 8/15 (1.53) on Alex Gustafsson to win outright, with Glover Teixeira the 13/5 (3.60) underdog but with the home crowd on his side and a point to prove, the stage is set for a showcase performance from one of Europe’s premier mixed martial artists.

Gustafsson is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Jan Błachowicz back in September of 2016, where he put in a solid enough but pretty rusty performance to get the win on the board.

Prior to that fight he played his part in a classic against current light heavyweight champion Daniel Cormier, where despite losing a fair 5 round decision, ‘The Mauler’ had the champion in all sorts of trouble. Much like he did against Jon Jones at UFC 165 in 2013, Alexander Gustafsson took Daniel Cormier to the limit.

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It is highly likely that a win over Glover Teixeira would immediately put Gustafsson back into the title chase in a 205-pound division which lacks strength in depth.

His teammate and now dear friend (after their fight in 2014), Jimi Manuwa, is also in that title picture after an impressive run of KO wins and although both have insisted there is no fight between them, a rematch does make sense to establish an obvious number 1 contender to the belt.

But first, Gustafsson has to get past Teixeira, who has only lost once in his last five fights. That defeat was a devastating 13-second knockout loss to the now-retired Anthony “Rumble” Johnson, which we can forgive Glover for all bar any long lasting damage to his chin.

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A win there likely would have given Teixeira a title shot, but with so much riding for him, Alexander Gustafsson appears to have all the aces at UFC Fight Night 109.

Sure he was rusty last time out, but that experience will bring confidence and let’s not forget he has already finished 15 of his 17 opponents to date and is still only 30 years old so doesn’t have too many miles on the clock.

At his best, Alexander Gustafsson is one of the best 205lb fighters to grace a cage and if the hunger is still there despite losing to Cormier and Jones, he is a force to be reckoned with. Given Teixeira’s age and potentially vulnerable chin, the hometown favourite should get this done and could well get it done early.

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The UFC betting odds of 10/11 on offer from bet365 about Gustafsson winning by KO/TKO or by way of submission is a standout price in a 25-minute fight, and especially considering that the 6ft 5in Swede is dangerous from everywhere. That rates as the top bet for this main event.

Ladbrokes offer of 9/2 about a first round finish is a more speculative punt, but could prove to be a bit of betting value also if the favourite comes out fast.

 

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Gustaffson 10/11 Bet365