Premier League betting: Back Bournemouth to edge closer to safety against local rivals Southampton

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Bournemouth +0.25 on the Asian Handicap @ 4/5 (1.80) with Betfred

It’s the south coast derby between Bournemouth and Southampton at Dean Court on Tuesday night (Live on BT Sport), with both teams needing the points to help achieve their respective goals.

The Cherries desperately need the points to stay clear of the drop-zone, while Southampton still harbour hopes of finishing high enough to secure a place in next season’s Europa League. Their European campaign this season was somewhat disappointing to say the least, going out to FC Midtjylland in the Europa League qualifying round.

AFC Bournemouth claimed a crucial point with a goalless draw at Watford on Saturday, while Southampton missed out on a chance to go fifth in the Premier League after losing 2-1 at home to Chelsea having led until the last 15 minutes.  It ended a run of 16-points from their last six Premier League games and also ended Fraser Forster’s club record of 707 minutes without conceding a top-flight goal.

Bournemouth have lost their last three league and cup games at Dean Court and could really do with finding some home form in their quest to climb away from the danger-zone.  They’ve won just three of 13 Premier League games on home turf to date, with only bottom of the table Aston Villa having won less.  It’s also telling that Callum Wilson, out since the end of September after rupturing his anterior cruciate ligament, remains the club’s top league scorer with five goals. 

The game at St Mary’s at the beginning of November ended in a 2-0 with for Southampton and came at a time when Bournemouth were struggling to cope with injuries.  The Cherries have strengthened their squad since then and were further boosted by the return of Max Gradel at Vicarage Road, with the Ivory Coast winger having been out since suffering a ligament injury in August.

This is the start of what looks to be a crucial three-match run for Eddie Howe’s team.  After facing Southampton, Bournemouth travel to Newcastle United then host Swansea City, after which their run-in looks none too easy.  Indeed, besides a trip to Villa Park and hosting West Bromwich Albion in their penultimate game of the season, there doesn’t look like too many obvious opportunities to secure points.

Bournemouth’s needs are the greater here and with home support it should be enough for them to take something from this game.  Backing them on the Asian Handicap +0.25 looks the way to go, as that ensures that in the event of a draw half your stake would be settled as a winning bet and the other half would be returned.

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