Burnley v Tottenham Betting Predictions | Back Draw at 7/2 with Skybet

Back a Draw at 7/2 @skybet
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Betting Tip: Backing a draw with under 2.5 goals at 7/2 with SkyBet

Perhaps one of the most surprising statistics of this Premier League betting season is Burnley’s home record. Widely expected to struggle upon promotion last term, the Clarets’ performances at Turf Moor have provided the basis for a fantastic campaign under Sean Dyche, losing only three games. We believe that form will stand them in good stead against title-chasing Spurs.

A strong defence is the main reason for their fantastic results at home. It is the fifth best in the league on their own patch, and they’ve conceded just 12 goals. But Spurs come with the second best away defence, having let in 13 on the road. It is all set up for a cagey, low scoring affair, a prediction fuelled by the continued absence of the league’s top English scorer, Harry Kane.

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Kane will be out for a while with an ankle injury, and that will not only blunt Spurs’ attack in terms of goals, but also linkup play. Mauricio Pochettino has switched to a back three with wing-backs, similar to the system which has been so successful for champions-elect Chelsea this term. It affords more creativity, which in turn allows for more potency. Christian Eriksen and Dele Alli are the main beneficiaries from freedom in attack, because the defence is so well covered, and will look to poke holes in a supremely organised and compact Burnley unit, before supplying Heung-Min Son in attack, a man who may struggle against a deep defensive line.

Dyche sets up in a traditional 4-2-3-1 formation, and rarely allows for his fullbacks to push on. That will give Pochettino’s men confidence to squeeze them high, particularly in the wide areas with Danny Rose and Kyle Walker. But Ashley Barnes and George Boyd will look to chase long balls and pin them back, while Andre Gray will look to stretch the defence by running the channels. It will be important for Victor Wanyama to drop back and cover his fullbacks when they push up.

Only Arsenal, Manchester City and Swansea City have beaten Burnley at Turf Moor this season, and each found it tough and won by just the one goal. Without Harry Kane, Spurs will find it tough and may have to settle for a point.

 

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