Predominance can give supporters a good run for their money in the Lincoln HandicapPublished April 1, 2016
Many punters believe the Betway Lincoln Handicap is a total lottery where any old horse can win, but seven of the last seventeen winners (since 1999) went off at 7/1 or less and a further seven went off at 20/1 or less. So while ‘The Lincoln’ isn’t the easiest of races to figure out, it does take a certain type of horse to run well in it and certain trainers have excelled in finding those in recent years.
William Haggas is one of them. He won the race in 2007 and 2010 and his Highclere owned four-year-old PREDOMINANCE can land the Betway sponsored spoils on Saturday under Jimmy Fortune; himself a three-time winner of the race.
Predominance was an expensive 155,000 guineas purchase by current connections, a gelded brother to already smart handicapper Birdman who may well take his chance in this race. He made his racecourse debut at Chepstow last September, where he was well backed into 5/2 in an ordinary maiden and duly justified it with an impressive win.
Next time out at Newbury from a mark of 83, Predominance made his handicap debut over a mile. Once again he travelled well and found a telling change of gear at the business end. A bit of experience caught him out here though and he was out-battled by Lear’s Rock. It was another very promising run, however.
The tip for the 2016 Betway Lincoln then ran at Doncaster on the final day of the flat season and finished a solid fourth behind Withernsea, having been well backed into 9/2 favouritism beforehand. With a winter under his belt to improve physically, this son of Danehill Dancer could easily be nicely handicapped from a mark of 90 and we certainly haven’t seen the best of him.
Odds of 14/1 available this week are pretty good value about a young, unexposed horse who is trained at a stable which excels in preparing horses for top handicap races. Predominance can give backers a good run for their money at a fair price, as the flat season kicks into gear proper.
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