Monaco v Manchester City Betting Prediction | Home Win Bet with Betfair

Back Monaco 12/1 @Betfair
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Betting Tip: Backing a Monaco first half/draw second half at 12/1 with Betfair

There are some ties, especially at this stage of the Champions League, which don’t offer much value on the betting market. But whenever Monaco are involved, not to mention the most tactically flexible coach in Europe, Manchester City’s Pep Guardiola, there is a chance that anything could happen. The first leg at the Etihad Stadium showed us that, finishing 5-3 to City.

Goals were always likely, and Monaco are something of a punter’s dream because they will take the game to anyone and give themselves a chance when many bookies wouldn’t. Their in-your-face attacking style has got them to the top of Ligue 1 this season, mainly because there is no way to contain every threat they possess. Whether it is Thomas Lemar and Valero Germain’s pace or Radamel Falcao’s movement in attack, Bernardo Silva’s creative spark in midfield or Kylian Mbappe’s unique blend of all three, the side from the Principality are far from out of this tie.

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The way it is poised means it promises to be another enthralling encounter. Monaco have to chase the game, meaning the likes of fullbacks Benjamin Mendy and Djibril Sidibe, as well as Fabinho, a wide player transformed into a central midfield player, will all push on early to try and get themselves back in with a shout of progression. Tiemoue Bakayoko and/or Joao Moutinho will need to balance the team out and stop City breaking. But as they showed against Middlesbrough in the FA Cup at the weekend, City are very adept at breaking through even strong midfield lines that aim to close the space. When Monaco attack, they leave space, and that is the perfect condition for both David Silva to thrive.

Sergio Aguero will be able to pull out wide and either pin Mendy or Sidibe back, or exploit the available space. While Monaco will look to target an ageing Pablo Zabaleta down the right, they will leave themselves open to a team that not only breaks at pace, but does so with attacking players constantly moving positions.

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Monaco have so much ability going forward, but they have been involved in a 4-3 game against Marseille since they faced City, pointing to their defensive frailties. They have a mountain to climb and while they are more than capable of getting through, their openness will eventually be their downfall.

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Monaco 12/1 @Betfair