Champions League Final Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid Betting Prediction | Back a Draw or Away Win at 11/2 with SkybetPublished May 8, 2017
When there is so little to play riding on a game of this magnitude by the time the second leg roles around, it is incredibly tough to call the outcome. Atletico Madrid once went 14 years without victory over Real Madrid, but in recent times under Diego Simeone they have really turned things around in recent times.
It is Atleti who have fared better domestically, winning a league title more recently and beating Real in the final of the Copa Del Rey. In the Champions League it has been a different story, with Real winning two finals and a quarter final against their rivals in the last three years.
Even so, the margin of the first leg victory for Real was surprising, because Atletico have very little chance of progression having conceded three, all scored by Cristiano Ronaldo. There is a sense, especially after the 3-0 win for Real at the Vicente Calderon in LaLiga in November, that the Simeone era may have peaked.
Saul Niguez’s failure to stamp his authority on proceedings was a massive factor in the first leg, as he wasn’t nearly as effective with his run timing and positioning as he has been so often in the last few years.
Antoine Griezmann's game by numbers vs. Real Madrid:— Squawka Football (@Squawka) May 2, 2017
0 touches inside the box
0 chances created
Didn't get a sniff. pic.twitter.com/ledUwBF9L3
It is hard to see Atletico pushing forward under Simeone and for that reason, any slim hopes they have of progression just do not look realistic. When at their best, they press high as a unit and don’t allow any space on the pitch, which is exactly why Real, a counter-attacking team, have struggled against them.
But without that pressure, as they were in the first leg, they become easier to play against. To chase the game, they must commit and that will allow the likes of Ronaldo room to hurt them.
Simeone will know attacking too early will increase the likelihood of an early Real goal. The longer the game goes on, the more they will push on and that is where it will fall into the hands of Zidane’s men.