Chelsea vs Burnley betting tips, preview and predictions: Blues to start title defence well
Chelsea to win with -2 handicap @ 15/8 with Betfair
Chelsea to win 2-0 @ 5/1 with Betfair
Chelsea to win and BTTS @ 9/5 with Betfair
Chelsea boss Antonio Conte will face a new type of pressure at Stamford Bridge this season. While he won the Premier League last season, he did so with the club coming off the back of a disastrous tenth placed finish, so not much was expected. This year, the demands will be that he repeats and builds on the success of his debut campaign in England.
That will start with a relatively straight-forward home game with Sean Dyche’s Burnley, who are themselves looking to consolidate after a good season when they staved off relegation. But Dyche will be fully aware that his season will be defined in games against teams around his, rather than at the likes of Stamford Bridge. On paper, given the Clarets dismal away record last season which yielded just one win, this should be a nice way to ease in for Chelsea.
Quietly, the Blues have strengthened very well this summer, right through the spine of the team. Antonio Rudiger is a centre back who has joined from Roma, Tiemoue Bakayoko signed from Monaco to allow Nemanja Matic to join Manchester United and Alvaro Morata will lead the line next season. While Diego Costa is likely to leave, his Spain international teammate will offer a different approach in attack. Instead of brutal physicality, Morata will be more intelligent with his runs, able to both hold up the ball and run in behind.
Burnley made Turf Moor a bit of a fortress last season because they kept their shape and played on the break through Andre Gray, but they struggled on the road. Although one of our betting tips sees them getting on the scoresheet, more likely is that Chelsea will not over extend themselves and pull away with the victory. With Bakayoko’s energy and N’Golo Kante’s impeccable positioning, their midfield will be able to control the game and they should keep the visitors at arms length, which is why we believe the result will be a home win by at least two goals. Seeing how Burnley’s defence operates after the sale of Michael Keane will also be interesting.
Key battle: Ashley Barnes vs Antonio Rudiger
Although the game will most likely be won at the other end of the pitch, Burnley’s hope is if they play with two up front as they so often did last season. They may be outnumbered two to three in the midfield, but Chelsea’s biggest weakness was exploited last year when both Tottenham and Arsenal got players in behind the two holding players. If Barnes, who will never stop running, can get a run at the back three, he could cause some damage alongside Gray.
Rudiger is the strongest and quickest available defender to Conte, meaning he would be the best option to try and keep Barnes out of the game as much as possible.